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Red133
204640.0
680041.2
167834.2
Blue105
281137.6
115629.5
366334.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126113406080100140160180133105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#34
41.20.4
40.340.6
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
red by 3.6
2811
#18
37.60.1
38.738.7
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End5.9
Second
40.00.4
39.139.5
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 5.5
34.50.1
35.635.5
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
Third
1678
#20
34.20.4
33.333.7
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 4.8
1156
#28
29.50.1
29.529.5
Auto11.0
Teleop17.0
End1.4