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Red103
331031.0
60441.2
594039.9
Blue86
169045.1
58141.9
35931.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12213505010015020025010386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
41.20.2
41.140.9
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
blue by 3.9
45.10.8
45.945.1
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
Second
5940
#10
39.90.2
39.839.5
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
blue by 2.0
581
#3
41.90.8
42.741.9
Auto11.9
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Third
3310
#24
31.00.2
30.930.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End4.5
Level
359
#29
31.00.8
31.831.0
Auto9.1
Teleop16.6
End5.3