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Red44
236323.6
218615.8
454117.2
Blue82
237720.9
558722.9
632623.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7172506080904482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.62.8
27.424.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Level
6326
#20
23.51.2
22.323.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Second
4541
#47
17.22.8
20.017.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 5.7
5587
#10
22.91.2
21.722.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
2186
#37
15.82.8
18.515.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End0.8
blue by 5.1
2377
#28
20.91.2
19.620.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsEarned