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Red115
173144.4
83635.7
337324.4
Blue69
53928.7
61418.1
409928.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11779406010014016018011569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.9
43.244.1
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
red by 15.6
28.80.5
28.728.3
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Second
836
#1
35.70.9
34.535.4
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
red by 7.0
539
#15
28.70.5
28.928.4
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Third
3373
#12
24.40.9
23.424.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End3.5
red by 6.3
614
#19
18.10.5
18.618.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsMissed