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Red63
97714.3
832619.1
940315.8
Blue63
126220.6
511516.5
680225.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5272204060801001206363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8326
#36
19.1
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 6.6
6802
#22
25.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Second
9403
#32
15.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End3.6
blue by 4.8
1262
#29
20.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Third
977
#46
14.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
blue by 2.2
5115
#43
16.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed