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Red44
190811.6
162932.1
82309.5
Blue84
68627.8
62027.5
533830.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57992040801201401604484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#14
32.10.8
33.933.1
Auto13.5
Teleop16.6
End2.0
red by 1.4
30.70.0
29.829.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
Second
1908
#45
11.60.8
12.511.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 16.1
686
#18
27.80.0
26.926.8
Auto11.6
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Third
8230
#53
9.50.8
10.39.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 18.1
620
#5
27.50.0
27.927.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsEarned