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Red40
4048.2
82309.5
242115.9
Blue28
33912.8
454117.2
907231.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308302040601001201404028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#34
15.90.4
16.617.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 15.6
9072
#26
31.42.7
32.429.7
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
Second
8230
#53
9.50.4
8.89.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 7.8
4541
#47
17.22.7
21.318.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
404
#54
8.20.4
8.18.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End0.2
blue by 4.6
339
#49
12.82.7
14.912.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed