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Red53
108625.4
237720.9
511516.5
Blue76
42228.8
970918.5
62027.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5575020401001201405376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#13
25.40.1
19.920.0
Auto7.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
blue by 3.4
422
#30
28.80.7
26.627.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
2377
#28
20.90.1
16.516.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 6.7
620
#5
27.50.7
20.821.5
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End2.0
Third
5115
#43
16.50.1
15.515.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 1.9
9709
#21
18.50.7
18.018.7
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed