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Red87
162932.1
53928.7
632623.5
Blue36
313630.9
219918.5
171910.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89542040801001201408736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#14
32.10.7
33.934.6
Auto13.5
Teleop16.6
End2.0
red by 1.1
3136
#31
30.91.1
28.627.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
Second
539
#15
28.70.7
23.524.3
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
red by 10.2
2199
#35
18.51.1
13.912.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
6326
#20
23.50.7
18.619.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
red by 12.8
1719
#50
10.81.1
10.49.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed