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Red75
409928.8
940315.8
219918.5
Blue73
393920.8
12228.5
190811.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52700204060801001201407573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.1
22.123.2
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
red by 0.3
122
#23
28.50.5
25.025.4
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
2199
#35
18.51.1
13.114.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 2.3
3939
#25
20.80.5
19.820.3
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Third
9403
#32
15.81.1
13.714.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End3.6
red by 4.1
1908
#45
11.60.5
16.316.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed