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Red83
108625.4
206812.9
173144.4
Blue61
161016.7
632623.5
900317.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions945302040801201401608361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.2
43.543.7
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
red by 20.9
6326
#20
23.50.5
22.322.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Second
1086
#13
25.40.2
21.221.4
Auto7.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 8.3
9003
#40
17.10.5
15.416.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.4
Third
2068
#52
12.90.2
15.515.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 3.8
1610
#51
16.70.5
15.215.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned