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Red87
554914.6
632623.5
173144.4
Blue78
12228.5
236323.6
242115.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94752040601201401601808778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.1
43.743.7
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
red by 15.9
122
#23
28.50.5
25.426.0
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
6326
#20
23.50.1
22.822.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Level
23.60.5
28.328.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Third
5549
#42
14.60.1
16.416.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End1.2
blue by 1.3
2421
#34
15.90.5
16.216.7
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned