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Red73
159925.5
900317.1
409928.8
Blue50
218615.8
88824.5
680225.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6672204060801001201407350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.8
23.224.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
red by 3.0
6802
#22
25.71.0
25.524.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
Second
1599
#33
25.50.8
21.322.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End3.6
red by 1.1
888
#17
24.51.0
21.820.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7
Third
9003
#40
17.10.8
16.016.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.4
red by 1.4
2186
#37
15.81.0
17.316.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed