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Red92
108625.4
161016.7
580436.0
Blue94
83635.7
511516.5
61923.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7676606570808590951009294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.5
32.433.9
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
red by 0.4
836
#1
35.71.7
28.229.9
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Second
1086
#13
25.41.5
21.422.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 1.4
619
#39
23.91.7
22.524.2
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End1.9
Third
1610
#51
16.71.5
15.717.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.4
red by 0.2
5115
#43
16.51.7
17.419.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed