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Red70
62320.3
907231.4
832619.1
Blue92
162932.1
61418.1
34629.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671020501507092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#26
31.40.3
32.332.6
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
blue by 0.6
1629
#14
32.10.2
35.135.3
Auto13.5
Teleop16.6
End2.0
Second
623
#8
20.30.3
15.916.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 9.3
346
#11
29.70.2
33.633.8
Auto11.1
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Third
8326
#36
19.10.3
16.817.2
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 1.0
614
#19
18.10.2
19.920.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned