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Red55
313630.9
289016.6
206812.9
Blue48
97714.3
4048.2
42228.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72520204060801001201405548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#31
30.90.5
28.828.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
red by 2.1
422
#30
28.80.1
27.827.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
2890
#41
16.60.5
18.518.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End2.2
red by 2.3
977
#46
14.30.1
13.813.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
Third
2068
#52
12.90.5
15.615.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End1.3
red by 4.7
404
#54
8.20.1
8.07.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed