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Red46
237720.9
33912.8
126220.6
Blue114
533830.7
189518.6
44939.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45105015046114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#28
20.90.2
17.617.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 18.8
449
#24
39.71.4
36.738.1
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Second
1262
#29
20.60.2
15.715.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
blue by 10.2
30.71.4
28.730.1
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
Third
339
#49
12.80.2
14.214.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 5.9
1895
#48
18.61.4
22.724.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed