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Red51
219918.5
4048.2
53928.7
Blue78
237720.9
580436.0
236323.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479502060801201401605178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#15
28.70.2
24.224.4
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
blue by 7.4
36.00.1
33.933.8
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
Second
2199
#35
18.50.2
15.916.1
Auto7.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 5.1
23.60.1
28.928.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Third
404
#54
8.20.2
7.88.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End0.2
blue by 12.7
2377
#28
20.90.1
17.417.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsEarned