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Red55
189518.6
82309.5
632623.5
Blue113
83635.7
11118.7
44939.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58840204010012014016055113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#20
23.50.0
22.822.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
blue by 16.1
449
#24
39.72.1
38.140.2
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Second
1895
#48
18.60.0
24.124.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 17.0
836
#1
35.72.1
29.932.0
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Third
8230
#53
9.50.0
8.98.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
red by 0.7
1111
#44
8.72.1
5.07.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned