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Red72
680225.7
393920.8
33912.8
Blue52
206812.9
42228.8
126220.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64655055607075807252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#22
25.70.9
24.525.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
blue by 3.1
422
#30
28.80.4
27.727.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
3939
#25
20.80.9
19.620.5
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 0.2
1262
#29
20.60.4
15.515.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
Third
339
#49
12.80.9
14.014.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 0.2
2068
#52
12.90.4
15.114.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed