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Red80
289016.6
533830.7
162932.1
Blue72
859226.2
61418.1
511516.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9669204060801201401608072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#14
32.10.4
35.335.0
Auto13.5
Teleop16.6
End2.0
red by 5.9
8592
#38
26.20.4
26.226.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Second
30.70.4
30.129.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
red by 12.6
614
#19
18.10.4
20.120.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Third
2890
#41
16.60.4
18.017.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End2.2
red by 0.1
5115
#43
16.50.4
19.119.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed