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Red54
190811.6
159925.5
832619.1
Blue70
454117.2
970918.5
108625.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62732040801001201405470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#33
25.51.2
22.120.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End3.6
red by 0.2
1086
#13
25.40.4
24.124.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Second
8326
#36
19.11.2
18.417.2
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 0.7
9709
#21
18.50.4
19.419.7
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
1908
#45
11.61.2
16.515.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 5.6
4541
#47
17.20.4
20.921.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed