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Red75
313630.9
34629.7
218615.8
Blue90
173144.4
40122.8
68627.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87110204060801001201401607590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#31
30.91.2
29.127.9
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
blue by 13.5
44.40.5
43.943.4
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
Second
346
#11
29.71.2
35.033.8
Auto11.1
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 1.9
686
#18
27.80.5
27.927.4
Auto11.6
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Third
2186
#37
15.81.2
17.015.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End0.8
blue by 7.1
401
#27
22.80.5
25.124.6
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed