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Red80
242115.9
53928.7
558722.9
Blue36
206812.9
189518.6
337324.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65694060801001208036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#15
28.71.4
24.425.7
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
red by 4.3
3373
#12
24.41.8
23.621.8
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Second
5587
#10
22.91.4
18.119.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End2.9
red by 4.3
1895
#48
18.61.8
24.022.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Third
2421
#34
15.91.4
17.018.4
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End3.0
red by 3.0
2068
#52
12.91.8
14.712.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed