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Red55
61923.9
33912.8
859226.2
Blue91
511516.5
236323.6
162932.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669602040801201405591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#38
26.20.5
26.626.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.3
blue by 5.9
1629
#14
32.10.1
35.035.0
Auto13.5
Teleop16.6
End2.0
Second
619
#39
23.90.5
24.223.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End1.9
red by 0.4
23.60.1
28.728.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Third
339
#49
12.80.5
12.211.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 3.7
5115
#43
16.50.0
19.619.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsEarned