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Red113
62027.5
126220.6
393920.8
Blue37
161016.7
82309.5
289016.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7442020608010012014011337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#5
27.52.4
25.527.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End2.0
red by 10.8
1610
#51
16.70.3
17.116.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.4
Second
3939
#25
20.82.4
20.522.9
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 4.2
2890
#41
16.60.3
15.815.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Third
1262
#29
20.62.4
16.919.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
red by 11.1
8230
#53
9.50.3
9.38.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed