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Red99
940315.8
42228.8
580436.0
Blue63
632623.5
533830.7
61418.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84800501001502009963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.3
33.835.0
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
red by 5.3
30.70.6
29.729.1
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
Second
422
#30
28.81.3
27.328.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
red by 5.3
6326
#20
23.50.6
22.722.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Third
9403
#32
15.81.3
14.115.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End3.6
blue by 2.3
614
#19
18.10.6
20.219.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsMissed