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Red85
62320.3
680225.7
108625.4
Blue80
82309.5
313630.9
53928.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766840601001208580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#22
25.70.8
26.627.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
blue by 5.2
3136
#31
30.91.2
27.929.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
Second
1086
#13
25.40.8
24.525.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
blue by 3.3
539
#15
28.71.2
25.726.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Third
623
#8
20.30.8
17.017.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 10.9
8230
#53
9.51.2
8.910.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed