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Red77
11118.7
42228.8
88824.5
Blue63
162932.1
940315.8
61923.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608520401001201407763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#30
28.81.3
28.629.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
blue by 3.3
1629
#14
32.11.1
35.033.9
Auto13.5
Teleop16.6
End2.0
Second
888
#17
24.51.3
21.022.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7
red by 0.6
619
#39
23.91.1
23.622.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End1.9
Third
1111
#44
8.71.3
7.89.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 7.1
9403
#32
15.81.1
15.314.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed