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Red68
12228.5
11118.7
61418.1
Blue56
161016.7
171910.8
454117.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594702040801006856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#23
28.50.4
25.525.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 11.3
4541
#47
17.20.1
19.219.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
614
#19
18.10.4
17.818.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End1.4
red by 1.4
1610
#51
16.70.1
15.715.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.4
Third
1111
#44
8.70.4
9.09.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 2.0
1719
#50
10.80.1
9.49.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed