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Red74
44939.7
33912.8
554914.6
Blue83
558722.9
940315.8
68627.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766902040601001201401607483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#24
39.70.4
38.038.4
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
red by 11.9
686
#18
27.81.3
27.628.9
Auto11.6
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
5549
#42
14.60.4
16.917.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End1.2
blue by 8.3
5587
#10
22.91.3
19.721.0
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
339
#49
12.80.4
12.813.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 3.0
9403
#32
15.81.3
15.817.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned