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Red60
53928.7
237720.9
97714.3
Blue115
907231.4
173144.4
859226.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61117408010014016060115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#15
28.70.3
27.727.4
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
blue by 15.7
44.40.3
43.743.9
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
Second
2377
#28
20.90.3
18.718.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 10.6
9072
#26
31.40.3
30.430.6
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
Third
977
#46
14.30.3
15.415.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
blue by 12.0
8592
#38
26.20.3
25.125.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed