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Red65
40122.8
632623.5
62320.3
Blue75
832619.1
210629.1
289016.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737355606570808590956575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#20
23.50.2
22.622.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.0
End3.6
blue by 5.6
2106
#16
29.10.1
31.030.9
Auto9.2
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Second
401
#27
22.80.2
24.023.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
red by 3.7
8326
#36
19.10.1
19.419.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Third
623
#8
20.30.2
18.918.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 3.7
2890
#41
16.60.1
16.516.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed