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Red59
42228.8
680225.7
189518.6
Blue75
970918.5
236323.6
172739.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87994060801201405975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#30
28.81.7
31.029.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
blue by 10.4
39.21.3
38.837.5
Auto11.7
Teleop24.7
End2.7
Second
6802
#22
25.71.7
27.726.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
red by 2.2
23.61.3
29.828.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Third
1895
#48
18.61.7
21.219.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 0.2
9709
#21
18.51.3
19.418.1
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed76%Ensemble oddsEarned