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Red61
34629.7
236323.6
33912.8
Blue70
289016.6
171910.8
83635.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826320401001201406170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#11
29.71.1
30.629.5
Auto11.1
Teleop13.5
End5.1
blue by 6.0
836
#1
35.70.7
33.834.5
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Second
23.61.1
28.527.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
red by 7.0
2890
#41
16.60.7
16.417.1
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Third
339
#49
12.81.1
13.312.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
red by 2.0
1719
#50
10.80.7
9.510.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
82%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsEarned