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Red95
108625.4
409928.8
313630.9
Blue47
189518.6
210629.1
940315.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9472204060801201409547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#31
30.90.4
29.830.2
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
red by 1.8
2106
#16
29.11.4
30.929.5
Auto9.2
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Second
28.80.4
28.328.7
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
red by 10.2
1895
#48
18.61.4
19.518.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Third
1086
#13
25.40.4
24.324.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
red by 9.6
9403
#32
15.81.4
17.115.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed