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Red53
242115.9
533830.7
97714.3
Blue98
172739.2
61923.9
62320.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659240801001201405398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.9
30.829.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
blue by 8.5
39.21.2
37.538.7
Auto11.7
Teleop24.7
End2.7
Second
2421
#34
15.90.9
15.814.9
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 8.0
619
#39
23.91.2
23.524.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End1.9
Third
977
#46
14.30.9
15.214.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
blue by 6.1
623
#8
20.31.2
18.720.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned