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Red70
126220.6
907231.4
900317.1
Blue62
219918.5
159925.5
970918.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78672040601001201407062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#26
31.40.1
30.630.7
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
red by 5.9
1599
#33
25.50.0
24.524.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Second
1262
#29
20.60.1
20.520.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
red by 2.1
2199
#35
18.50.0
19.019.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
9003
#40
17.10.1
17.817.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.4
blue by 1.3
9709
#21
18.50.0
18.118.1
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed