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Red112
53928.7
173144.4
83635.7
Blue84
44939.7
88824.5
409928.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110140608014016018011284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.1
43.944.0
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
red by 4.7
449
#24
39.70.3
40.039.7
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Second
836
#1
35.70.1
35.235.3
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
red by 6.9
28.80.3
29.128.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Third
539
#15
28.70.1
28.228.3
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
red by 4.2
888
#17
24.50.3
24.824.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7