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Red114
313630.9
34629.7
580436.0
Blue105
12228.5
172739.2
970918.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11091406080100120140160180114105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.4
36.136.5
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
blue by 3.1
39.20.4
38.739.2
Auto11.7
Teleop24.7
End2.7
Second
3136
#31
30.90.4
31.031.4
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
red by 2.5
122
#23
28.50.4
28.028.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Third
346
#11
29.70.4
29.830.1
Auto11.1
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 11.2
9709
#21
18.50.4
18.018.5
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3