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Red89
409928.8
88824.5
44939.7
Blue118
580436.0
34629.7
313630.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210940608012014016018089118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#24
39.70.1
39.739.7
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
red by 3.6
36.00.4
36.537.0
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
Second
28.80.1
28.928.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
blue by 2.2
3136
#31
30.90.4
31.431.9
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
Third
888
#17
24.50.1
24.624.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7
blue by 5.2
346
#11
29.70.4
30.130.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.5
End5.1