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Red87
393920.8
62027.5
42228.8
Blue97
12228.5
172739.2
970918.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85934060801001208797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#30
28.80.1
29.229.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
blue by 10.4
39.20.3
38.238.5
Auto11.7
Teleop24.7
End2.7
Second
620
#5
27.50.1
27.928.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End2.0
blue by 1.0
122
#23
28.50.3
27.527.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Third
3939
#25
20.80.1
21.121.2
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 2.3
9709
#21
18.50.3
17.517.7
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3