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Red107
409928.8
88824.5
44939.7
Blue75
907231.4
40122.8
62320.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10480406012014016010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#24
39.70.2
39.139.4
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
red by 8.2
9072
#26
31.40.0
31.731.7
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
Second
28.80.2
28.328.5
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
red by 6.0
401
#27
22.80.0
23.023.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Third
888
#17
24.50.2
24.024.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7
red by 4.2
623
#8
20.30.0
20.620.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3