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Red121
409928.8
88824.5
44939.7
Blue108
580436.0
34629.7
313630.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110550150200121108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#24
39.70.6
39.440.0
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
red by 3.6
36.00.3
35.335.6
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
Second
28.80.6
28.529.1
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
blue by 2.2
3136
#31
30.90.3
30.230.5
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
Third
888
#17
24.50.6
24.224.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7
blue by 5.2
346
#11
29.70.3
28.929.2
Auto11.1
Teleop13.5
End5.1