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Red97
970918.5
172739.2
12228.5
Blue80
907231.4
40122.8
62320.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958040601201409780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.1
38.638.7
Auto11.7
Teleop24.7
End2.7
red by 7.7
9072
#26
31.40.1
31.331.4
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
Second
122
#23
28.50.1
27.928.0
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 5.7
401
#27
22.80.1
22.722.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Third
9709
#21
18.50.1
17.918.0
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 1.9
623
#8
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3