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Red153
7837.3
60451.1
948347.5
Blue192
167858.3
420640.1
461347.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14716250100200250153192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
Unranked
51.10.4
50.751.1
Auto16.6
Teleop28.7
End5.8
blue by 7.2
1678
Unranked
58.30.8
58.058.9
Auto18.4
Teleop32.6
End7.2
Second
9483
Unranked
47.50.4
47.147.5
Auto15.8
Teleop30.2
End1.5
red by 0.2
4613
Unranked
47.30.8
47.147.9
Auto12.9
Teleop32.4
End2.0
Third
78
Unranked
37.30.4
36.937.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.1
End3.2
blue by 2.7
4206
Unranked
40.10.8
39.940.7
Auto9.0
Teleop29.5
End1.6