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Red125
632854.3
907234.6
448143.3
Blue119
447639.1
702839.5
259041.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471326080100120160180200220125119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
Unranked
54.30.1
54.053.9
Auto16.8
Teleop31.1
End6.4
red by 12.4
2590
Unranked
41.90.3
42.241.9
Auto14.7
Teleop22.5
End4.8
Second
4481
Unranked
43.30.1
43.042.9
Auto14.6
Teleop27.5
End1.2
red by 3.8
7028
Unranked
39.50.3
39.839.5
Auto11.5
Teleop28.1
End-0.1
Third
9072
Unranked
34.60.1
34.334.1
Auto11.3
Teleop23.4
End-0.2
blue by 4.5
4476
Unranked
39.10.3
39.439.1
Auto9.9
Teleop26.8
End2.5