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Red178
461347.3
420640.1
167858.3
Blue155
448143.3
907234.6
632854.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166141100200250300178155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
Unranked
58.30.6
58.959.4
Auto18.4
Teleop32.6
End7.2
red by 3.9
6328
Unranked
54.30.4
53.954.3
Auto16.8
Teleop31.1
End6.4
Second
4613
Unranked
47.30.6
47.948.5
Auto12.9
Teleop32.4
End2.0
red by 4.0
4481
Unranked
43.30.4
42.943.3
Auto14.6
Teleop27.5
End1.2
Third
4206
Unranked
40.10.6
40.741.3
Auto9.0
Teleop29.5
End1.6
red by 5.5
9072
Unranked
34.60.4
34.134.6
Auto11.3
Teleop23.4
End-0.2