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Red129
32117.5
452242.2
169053.7
Blue106
167858.3
420640.1
461347.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11917250100150200250129106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
53.70.2
53.954.1
Auto17.0
Teleop31.4
End5.4
blue by 4.6
1678
Unranked
58.31.2
59.458.3
Auto18.4
Teleop32.6
End7.2
Second
4522
Unranked
42.20.2
42.442.6
Auto13.2
Teleop24.7
End4.4
blue by 5.1
4613
Unranked
47.31.2
48.547.3
Auto12.9
Teleop32.4
End2.0
Third
321
Unranked
17.50.2
17.717.9
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End0.4
blue by 22.5
4206
Unranked
40.11.2
41.340.1
Auto9.0
Teleop29.5
End1.6