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Red108
461347.3
420640.1
167858.3
Blue148
25451.1
132356.4
29425.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160160110120130140150170180190108148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
Unranked
58.30.8
58.357.4
Auto18.4
Teleop32.6
End7.2
red by 1.8
1323
Unranked
56.40.0
59.859.8
Auto19.7
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Second
4613
Unranked
47.30.8
47.446.5
Auto12.9
Teleop32.4
End2.0
blue by 3.8
254
Unranked
51.10.0
54.554.5
Auto15.5
Teleop29.3
End6.3
Third
4206
Unranked
40.10.8
40.139.3
Auto9.0
Teleop29.5
End1.6
red by 14.5
294
Unranked
25.60.0
28.929.0
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.1